615
FNUS22 KWNS 150840
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
..SYNOPSIS
A STRONGER MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS
BROADER TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CONUS. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO OK/TX EARLY
FRIDAY. THIS WILL SUPPORT STRONG NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS OVER MUCH OF
THE PLAINS AND SOME FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER, BUT THE
COLDEST AIR SHOULD LAG BEHIND THE FRONT. WITH THE AIR MASS ALREADY
DRY FROM THE PRIOR FRONTAL INTRUSION, DRY DOWNSLOPING SHOULD RESULT
IN LOW RH OF 10-20% OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS OF 20-30 MPH (WITH HIGHER GUSTS) ARE LIKELY FROM WESTERN KS
INTO OK/TX. FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY DESPITE LIGHT PRECIPITATION AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE PRECEDING DAYS. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED AND SOME CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
A COUPLE HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MOST LIKELY BENEATH AND
JUST SOUTH OF THE STRONG 700 MB JET ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN OK
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HERE, A FEW GUSTS TO 40+ MPH ARE POSSIBLE
OVERLAPPED WITH FUELS IN THE 90-95TH SEASONAL PERCENTILE.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
MUCH COOLER SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30S AND 40S F) ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER NORTH INTO KS AND EASTERN CO BEHIND THE FRONT. HOWEVER, VERY
DRY CONDITIONS, SINGLE DIGIT TO BELOW ZERO DEWPOINTS AND STRONG
WINDS OF 20-30 MPH MAY STILL POSE A BRIEF LOCALLY ELEVATED
FIRE-WEATHER THREAT WHERE FUELS ARE THE MOST RECEPTIVE.
..LYONS.. 01/15/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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