137
ACUS02 KWNS 160601
SWODY2
SPC AC 160600
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH ORIENTED FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL PIVOT EAST ON SATURDAY, BECOMING POSITIONED
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE WESTERN GULF BY SUNDAY MORNING. AT THE
SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MIDWEST
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. GULF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN CUT-OFF, PRECLUDING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR MOST OF THE CONUS. WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE UPPER TROUGH AND STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS, LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP
NEAR THE FL STRAITS AND TOWARD THE BAHAMAS LATE IN THE PERIOD.
SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL EXIST TO SUPPORT WEAK
BUOYANCY AMID INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ABOVE 700 MB. THIS COULD
FOSTER A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE UPPER FL KEYS TO
THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL FL PENINSULA AFTER 06Z, THOUGH THE BULK OF ANY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD MAINLY REMAIN OFFSHORE. SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..LEITMAN.. 01/16/2026
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