825
ACUS02 KWNS 161701
SWODY2
SPC AC 161700
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1100 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
..DISCUSSION
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
WILL MOVE INTO THE BASE OF A LARGER-SCALE TROUGH ENCOMPASSING THE
EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS. IN RESPONSE, A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
AND RELATED MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN FL DURING
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. WHILE BUOYANCY WILL BE
LIMITED (ESPECIALLY OVER LAND AREAS), ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN FL. MOST
GUIDANCE DEPICTS THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINING OFFSHORE, AND
EVENTUAL REMOVAL OF THE TSTM AREA MAY BE WARRANTED IF THIS TREND
CONTINUES.
..WEINMAN.. 01/16/2026
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