892
ACUS02 KWNS 171705
SWODY2
SPC AC 171703
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE COUNTRY ON SUNDAY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHERN FL COAST. A COLD CONTINENTAL AIR
MASS IS NOTED IN MID-MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SURGING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE PLAINS IN TANDEM WITH AN UPPER WAVE/JET. THESE FEATURES
WILL SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY 12Z SUNDAY,
AND WILL LIKELY SUPPORT AN UPTICK IN ANAFRONTAL STRATIFORM
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER,
NEGLIGIBLE BUOYANCY IS EXPECTED OWING TO POOR LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, WHICH SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE ALONG AND JUST OFF THE
SOUTHERN FL ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITHIN A WEAK WARM
ADVECTION REGIME AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT. OFFSHORE STORM
MOTIONS SHOULD FURTHER LIMIT THE DURATION OF CONVECTION OVER LAND.
..MOORE.. 01/17/2026
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