854
ACUS03 KWNS 171906
SWODY3
SPC AC 171905
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0105 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE COUNTRY FOR
MONDAY. AN EXTENSIVE COLD/DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MASS AND BUILDING
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL PROMOTE DRY
CONDITIONS FOR MOST REGIONS EAST OF THE ROCKIES. BROAD-SCALE UPPER
RIDGING WILL PERSIST ALONG THE WEST COAST, MAINTAINING LOW CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION. A LIGHTNING FLASH OR TWO APPEARS PLAUSIBLE ON THE
EASTERN SHORES OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WHERE COLD 850-700 MB
TEMPERATURES MAY SUPPORT MIXED-PHASE HYDROMETEORS WITHIN DEEP
LAKE-EFFECT SNOW BANDS. HOWEVER, THIS POTENTIAL SEEMS TOO SPATIALLY
LIMITED AND CONDITIONAL TO WARRANT BROADER 10% THUNDER PROBABILITIES
AT THIS TIME.
..MOORE.. 01/17/2026
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