005
ACUS03 KWNS 181854
SWODY3
SPC AC 181853
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 PM CST SUN JAN 18 2026
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS FOR LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTION SHOULD
PERSIST ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SHOULD PROGRESS FROM THE CANADIAN ROCKIES TOWARDS
THE LOWER MO/MID-MS VALLEYS. A WEAK SURFACE CYCLONE SHOULD SIMILARLY
TRACK FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO NEAR LAKE MI. THIS WILL
SUPPORT ONSHORE AIR MASS MODIFICATION ALONG THE TX GULF COAST. SCANT
BUT SHALLOW BUOYANCY SHOULD REACH THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH TX COAST BY
12Z WEDNESDAY, WITH FLIMSY ELEVATED BUOYANCY POSSIBLE NORTHWARD
ACROSS EAST TX. GIVEN POOR-QUALITY THERMODYNAMICS AND ONLY WEAK
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT, THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IN TX APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE.
..GRAMS.. 01/18/2026
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