395
ACUS03 KWNS 240831
SWODY3
SPC AC 240830
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR UNLIKELY MONDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
MID-LEVEL TROUGHING AND STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD OVER THE US BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING OFFSHORE MONDAY. A
SECOND TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH OUT OF CANADA INTO THE GREAT
LAKES AS IT ALSO INTENSIFIES. THE MID-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY WITH TROUGHING PERSISTING OVER THE EASTERN
US. IN TURN, RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY WITH INCREASINGLY STRONG
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.
AT THE SURFACE, A ROBUST AND WIDESPREAD ARCTIC AIR MASS WITH STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE LOWER 48 AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC AND DOWN THE FL PENINSULA. WIDESPREAD
WINTER WEATHER AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL LARGELY PRECLUDE ROBUST
INLAND SURFACE MOISTURE OUTSIDE OF COASTAL SOUTH FL. HOWEVER, WEAK
LAPSE RATES AND ONLY GLANCING ASCENT SUGGESTS THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
HERE IS LOW. THUS, THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR UNLIKELY
OVER THE US ON MONDAY.
..LYONS.. 01/24/2026
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