337
ACUS01 KWNS 251605
SWODY1
SPC AC 251603
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1003 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
VALID 251630Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE....
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
STATES THIS AFTERNOON. DAMAGING GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE THE
MAIN CONCERNS.
..AL/GA/FL
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A POTENT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 100KT JET OVER AR. THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK
RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY TODAY, WITH LARGE SCALE
FORCING OVERSPREADING THE GULF COAST STATES. THIS WILL AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ROBUST THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL AL INTO SOUTHEAST LA. AHEAD OF THE FRONT,
SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL TRANSPORT GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND
RESULT IN WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION FOR A RISK OF A FEW
SEVERE STORMS. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW
TORNADOES IF SEMI-DISCRETE STRUCTURES CAN FORM ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
DEVELOPING QLCS. OTHERWISE, LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE
MAIN CONCERN. REFER TO MCD #0057 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
..HART/BENTLEY.. 01/25/2026
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