349
ACUS01 KWNS 261939
SWODY1
SPC AC 261938
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VALID 262000Z - 271200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
..DISCUSSION
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY NEAR THE FLORIDA COAST
WITH A WEAK LINE OF STORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THIS
CONVECTIVE LINE HAS WEAKENED/MOVED FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE TO BRING AN
END TO ANY THUNDER POTENTIAL ACROSS FLORIDA. A DRY,
CONTINENTAL-POLAR AIRMASS, WHICH HAS NOW BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CONUS, WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT ANY THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL.
..BENTLEY.. 01/26/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0950 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026/
..DISCUSSION INCLUDING SOUTH FLORIDA
LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN PREVALENT EAST OF THE ROCKIES, WITH SOME
LATE-DAY AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER RIDGE INTO THE WEST IN ADVANCE
OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE AND
COLD/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES WILL EXTENSIVELY PREVAIL EAST OF THE
ROCKIES, WITH AN EXCEPTION BEING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. WHILE NEAR-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK,
AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE POOR, ADDITIONAL BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMING AND DEEPENING CONVECTION MAY BE CONDUCIVE FOR A FEW
LIGHTNING FLASHES, MAINLY NEAR PARTS OF THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH AFTERNOON.
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