469  
ACUS01 KWNS 311602  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 311600  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026  
 
VALID 311630Z - 011200Z  
   
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER TROUGH/LOW OVER THE LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS LATE THIS  
MORNING WILL PIVOT EASTWARD OVER GA/THE CAROLINAS INTO THE WESTERN  
ATLANTIC THROUGH TONIGHT. FURTHER DEEPENING OF A SURFACE LOW OVER  
THE GULF STREAM EAST OF THE NC OUTER BANKS IS FORECAST THROUGH THE  
PERIOD, BUT ANY ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
OFFSHORE. A SEPARATE UPPER TROUGH WITH RELATED COOL MID-LEVEL  
TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE  
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, NAM/RAP FORECAST  
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMAL MUCAPE WILL BE DETRIMENTAL TO  
LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTION.  
 
..GLEASON/SUPINIE.. 01/31/2026  
 

 
 
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