445
ACUS01 KWNS 311950
SWODY1
SPC AC 311948
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
VALID 312000Z - 011200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH TONIGHT.
..20Z UPDATE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST (SEE BELOW) REMAINS UNCHANGED.
..SQUITIERI.. 01/31/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1000 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026/
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION
AN UPPER TROUGH/LOW OVER THE LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS LATE THIS
MORNING WILL PIVOT EASTWARD OVER GA/THE CAROLINAS INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH TONIGHT. FURTHER DEEPENING OF A SURFACE LOW OVER
THE GULF STREAM EAST OF THE NC OUTER BANKS IS FORECAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD, BUT ANY ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE. A SEPARATE UPPER TROUGH WITH RELATED COOL MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, NAM/RAP FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MINIMAL MUCAPE WILL BE DETRIMENTAL TO
LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTION.
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