178
ACUS02 KWNS 020634
SWODY2
SPC AC 020633
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CST MON FEB 02 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.
..EAST TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THROUGH/INTO THE BASE OF A
LARGER-SCALE TROUGH COVERING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS, A RELATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS. DESPITE POOR DEEP-LAYER LAPSE
RATES, SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE RETURN (MIDDLE 50S TO NEAR
60 F DEWPOINTS) WILL YIELD WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THIS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM EAST TX INTO LA, THOUGH THE WEAK BUOYANCY AND LIMITED
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE
RISK.
..WEINMAN.. 02/02/2026
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