957
ACUS02 KWNS 031632
SWODY2
SPC AC 031631
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1031 AM CST TUE FEB 03 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY WITH A
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EAST AND AN ANTICYCLONE/RIDGE IN THE WEST.
A POSITIVE-TILT SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DIGGING THROUGH THE BASAL PORTION
OF THE TROUGH WILL YIELD WEAK CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE SOUTHEAST. A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THIS CYCLONE INTO
THE NORTHWEST GULF ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. A COMBINATION OF 50S
BOUNDARY-LAYER DEW POINTS AND WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD
SUPPORT ONLY SCANT SURFACE TO SLIGHTLY ELEVATED BUOYANCY NEAR THE
FRONT. LOW THUNDER PROBABILITIES ARE APPARENT DURING THE MORNING TO
AFTERNOON, ALONG A PORTION OF THE GULF COAST FROM FAR SOUTHEAST LA
TO THE FL PANHANDLE. THE PAUCITY OF INSTABILITY AND MODEST
LOWER-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD MINIMIZE SEVERE-STORM POTENTIAL.
..GRAMS.. 02/03/2026
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