015
ACUS02 KWNS 070533
SWODY2
SPC AC 070532
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST FRI FEB 06 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
..AZ
FORECAST GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED FURTHER SOUTH WITH A CLOSED UPPER LOW
AND ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO ON
SUNDAY. AS A RESULT, FORECAST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOW A SOMEWHAT
DRIER PROFILE, ESPECIALLY IN THE MIDLEVELS. WHILE COOLING ALOFT WILL
SUPPORT STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEVELOPMENT OF MINOR
ELEVATED INSTABILITY, THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT
LOWER COMPARED TO THIS TIME YESTERDAY. WILL MAINTAIN THE 10 PERCENT
GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ FOR NOW, BUT THIS MAY
BE REMOVED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS IF CURRENT TRENDS ARE MAINTAINED.
ELSEWHERE, DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.
..LEITMAN.. 02/07/2026
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