197
FNUS21 KWNS 071653
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 AM CST SAT FEB 07 2026
VALID 071700Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING
NORTHERN COLORADO AND THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...
..NORTHERN ROCKIES
WESTERLY FLOW OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AS DOWNSLOPE WINDS INCREASE TO 15-25 MPH IN SPOTS OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL MT. HOWEVER, INCREASING CLOUD COVER IS ALSO EXPECTED TO
LIMIT AFTERNOON RH MINIMUMS. THIS SHOULD KEEP FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS
MORE LOCALIZED DESPITE UNUSUALLY DRY FUELS AND THE INCREASE IN
SURFACE WINDS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE CRITICAL AREA OVER PARTS OF CO AND
WY. MORNING OBSERVATIONS SHOW DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND PARTIAL CLEARING
OVER THE PLAINS FARTHER EAST. POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
(BELOW 30%) WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP MIXING TODAY AS RH FALLS FURTHER
THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY FROM SOUTHEASTERN
WY INTO WESTERN NE AND NORTHERN CO. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS GIVEN DRY FUELS OVER PARTS OF THE HIGH
PLAINS.
OTHERWISE, SEE THE PRIOR OUTLOOK FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
..LYONS.. 02/07/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0111 AM CST SAT FEB 07 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER RIDGING WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AS A
MID-LEVEL TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE ATLANTIC AND A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW
MEANDERS EASTWARD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA TODAY. AN EMBEDDED
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRAVERSE THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES, SUPPORTING SURFACE LEE TROUGHING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
REGION.
ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS CORRIDOR, GUIDANCE CONSENSUS DEPICTS
WIDESPREAD 20+ MPH SUSTAINED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WITH
DOWNSLOPE FLOW FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY
PEAK HEATING, RH MAY DECREASE TO 15 PERCENT ALONG THE
COLORADO/WYOMING/NEBRASKA BORDER. WHEN CONSIDERING DRY FUELS WITH
THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONGER SUSTAINED WINDS IN THIS AREA, CRITICAL
HIGHLIGHTS APPEAR WARRANTED.
FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE NORTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE, DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL SUPPORT 15+ MPH SUSTAINED
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AMID 20-25 PERCENT RH FOR AT LEAST
A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. SUCH CONDITIONS WARRANT THE MAINTENANCE
OF ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS GIVEN AT LEAST MARGINALLY DRY FUELS OVER THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
DRY AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE REINFORCEMENT OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS.
RH MAY DIP BELOW 30 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE PENINSULA, WITH LOWER
VALUES POSSIBLE LOCALLY. SURFACE WIND FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RELATIVELY WEAK, PRECLUDING FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS THIS OUTLOOK.
STILL, THE DRY AIR AND RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL PROMOTE LOCALIZED
WILDFIRE-SPREAD POTENTIAL.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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