285
ACUS02 KWNS 080538
SWODY2
SPC AC 080536
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1136 PM CST SAT FEB 07 2026
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN MEXICO ON MONDAY. FORECAST GUIDANCE HAS SLOWED IN THE
EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. WARM
MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY POOR VERTICAL MOISTURE PROFILES
WILL RESULT IN SCANT ELEVATED INSTABILITY TOWARD SOUTHERN AZ/NM AND
TX RIO GRANDE VICINITY. ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER LOW IS LIKELY TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE U.S. BORDER.
ELSEWHERE, MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. BENEATH AN UPPER RIDGE. THIS BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SHALLOW, AND DEWPOINTS GENERALLY BELOW 60
F. POOR THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES AND OTHERWISE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
..LEITMAN.. 02/08/2026
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