133
ACUS03 KWNS 081843
SWODY3
SPC AC 081842
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CST SUN FEB 08 2026
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.
..DISCUSSION
THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL FEATURE 3 MID-LEVEL
TROUGHS ON WEDNESDAY, ONE OVER THE GREAT LAKES, ANOTHER NEAR FAR
WEST TEXAS AND ANOTHER APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST. WITHIN THIS
PATTERN, A BROAD REGION OF SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS
WILL LEAD TO SURFACE WARMING/MOISTENING.
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT COMBINED WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING WILL
LEAD TO WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS ON TUESDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH
ACCELERATES AND MOVES NORTHEAST.
ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN, LIKELY
SOMEWHERE NEAR TENNESSEE ON TUESDAY EVENING, A WARM FRONT WILL
BECOME BETTER DEFINED. ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FRONT, SOME ELEVATED
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK ISENTROPIC ASCENT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LIMITED LIGHTING POTENTIAL AT THIS TIME.
COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND NORTHWARD TRANSPORT OF CENTRAL
PACIFIC SURFACE MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO SOME WEAK INSTABILITY ALONG THE
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY AS THE PRIMARY
TROUGH AND COOL AIR ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD AROUND 00Z WEDNESDAY.
..BENTLEY.. 02/08/2026
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