283
ACUS03 KWNS 141916
SWODY3
SPC AC 141915
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 PM CST SAT FEB 14 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
..SUMMARY
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS ON
MONDAY, ACCOMPANIED BY AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.
..DISCUSSION
EARLY IN THE DAY ON MONDAY, A STRONG MID-LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
100+ KNOT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COAST. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW, SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL TRANSPORT MID
50S DEWPOINTS NORTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. AS
TEMPERATURES COOL ALOFT OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS, SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE WATER AND NEAR-COASTAL REGIONS OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW (A 40+ KNOT LOW-LEVEL
JET) AND SOME LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO AS A LINE OF STORMS MOVES
ONSHORE MONDAY LATE MORNING TO AFTERNOON. WITH PERSISTENT OFFSHORE
FLOW, TEMPERATURES COOL SIGNIFICANTLY INLAND. THEREFORE, ANY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS.
..BENTLEY.. 02/14/2026
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page