389
ACUS11 KWNS 150023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150023
TXZ000-150230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0079
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 PM CST SAT FEB 14 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5...
VALID 150023Z - 150230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 5 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE EASTWARD TO THE COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS -- WITHIN
TORNADO WATCH #5.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR DATA FROM KHGX DEPICTS AN ORGANIZED
SQUALL LINE MOVING EASTWARD ALONG A SURFACE COLD FRONT AT AROUND
35-40 KT TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX COAST. AHEAD OF THE LINE,
THE HGX VWP IS SAMPLING A 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET, WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING
TO LARGE CLOCKWISE HODOGRAPH CURVATURE (250-300 M2/S2 EFFECTIVE
SRH). WHILE THE FRONTAL FORCING AND 50-60 KT OF LINE-PARALLEL
EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS PROMOTING A CONTINUED LINEAR MODE (WITH A
SEVERE-WIND RISK), THE AMPLE STREAMWISE VORTICITY AND UPPER 60S TO
NEAR 70 BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IS ALSO FAVORING EMBEDDED
CIRCULATIONS/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND A TORNADO RISK. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE
TO THE COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS -- WITHIN TORNADO WATCH #5.
..WEINMAN.. 02/15/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
LAT...LON 29359614 29969556 30569492 30729444 30679405 30369381
29949385 29609409 28729545 28609594 28929622 29359614
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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