012  
FNUS22 KWNS 191939  
FWDDY2  
 
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0138 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN  
TEXAS...  
   
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
 
 
AN EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE AND ATTENDANT 90+ KT JET  
WILL EJECT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY. THE STRONG WESTERLY FLOW  
ALONG WITH SUBSEQUENT LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT WILL SUPPORT  
DRY, DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING  
INTO 15-20% RANGE ACROSS EASTERN NM AND WEST TX WILL YIELD CRITICAL  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE REGION. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS  
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TRANS PECOS AND TX BIG BEND AREAS, WHERE  
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW 10% BY PEAK  
HEATING. EXPANDED CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS INTO PORTIONS FAR WEST TX  
WHERE SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH, VERY LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AND RECEPTIVE FUELS ALIGN TO SUPPORT WILDFIRE SPREAD.  
 
..WILLIAMS/GARCIA.. 02/19/2026  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0139 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF MID-LEVEL IMPULSES EMBEDDED IN BROADER UPPER  
TROUGHING WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, RESULTING IN SURFACE  
LOW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TOMORROW (FRIDAY).  
AS THE LOW TRACKS EASTWARD, DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL PROMOTE WILDFIRE  
SPREAD CONDITIONS. THE LATEST GUIDANCE CONSENSUS DEPICTS 20-25 MPH  
SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS COINCIDING WITH 15 PERCENT RH BY  
AFTERNOON PEAK HEATING, WARRANTING THE INTRODUCTION OF CRITICAL  
HIGHLIGHTS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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