451  
FNUS22 KWNS 221943  
FWDDY2  
 
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0142 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026  
 
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z  
   
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
 
 
   
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
 
 
IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA,  
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND VERY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL CONTINUING FROM OVERNIGHT  
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AMID RH VALUES  
BELOW 25% SHOULD SUPPORT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED AND CRITICAL  
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN FL WHERE FUELS  
REMAIN THE DRIEST.  
 
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA HAVE BEEN TRIMMED WHERE PRIOR  
RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 7 DAYS EXCEEDS 1 INCH. HERE FUELS HAVE LIKELY  
BEEN TEMPERED THOUGH SHORT HOUR FUELS COULD STILL SUPPORT SOME  
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS.  
 
DRY AND BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE GULF  
COAST MONDAY. WHILE WEAKER THAN THE PROCEEDING DAYS, GUSTS OF 10-15  
MPH WITH RH BELOW 30% COULD ALLOW FOR SOME LOCALLY ELEVATED CONCERNS  
OVER SOUTHERN LA/MS MONDAY.  
 
OTHERWISE, ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE ELEVATED AREA  
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FOR THE LATEST FORECAST AND FUELS  
GUIDANCE. SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.  
 
..LYONS.. 02/22/2026  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0116 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE  
FLORIDA PENINSULA ON MONDAY OWING TO A DRY AND BREEZY POST-FRONTAL  
AIRMASS OVERLAPPING DROUGHT-STRICKEN FUELS. FURTHER WEST, DRY AND  
BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW IN FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE  
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER  
CONDITIONS.  
   
..FLORIDA PENINSULA/SOUTHERN GEORGIA
 
 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 20%-25% (WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RH  
RECOVERY) AND WINDS OF 15-20 MPH OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WILL OVERLAP  
WITH DROUGHT-STRICKEN FUELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON  
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER  
CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA.  
   
..EASTERN NEW MEXICO/TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
 
 
DRY AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH  
OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 10-15% AND WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE  
FORECAST TO OVERLAP WITH PREVIOUSLY CURED FUELS, SUPPORTING AT LEAST  
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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