234  
ACUS11 KWNS 230025  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 230024  
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-230530-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0115  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0624 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...NEW YORK CITY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND  
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW  
 
VALID 230024Z - 230530Z  
 
SUMMARY...A LONG-DURATION MODERATE/HEAVY SNOWFALL EVENT WILL  
INCREASINGLY IMPACT NYC INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS  
EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING. 1-2 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES WILL  
BE LIKELY, PARTICULARLY AFTER MIDNIGHT EST.  
 
DISCUSSION...RECENT REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE NORTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOWS A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY  
SNOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO LONG ISLAND. ALREADY, RECENT  
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS REPORTED 1 INCH IN THE LAST HOUR AT ISLIP,  
LAGUARDIA, AND JFK. THIS BAND SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPACT PARTS OF  
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL  
AT LEAST INITIALLY REMAIN NEAR THE COAST. WITH TIME, THE 994 MB LOW  
ANALYZED OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL DEEPEN, PARTICULARLY AFTER  
11 PM/MIDNIGHT EST. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY PROMOTE A BROADER ZONE OF  
STRONGER ISENTROPIC ASCENT THAT WILL PROMOTE MORE WIDESPREAD  
MODERATE/HEAVY SNOW FARTHER NORTH. SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO  
CONCURRENTLY INCREASE WITH THE DEEPENING OF THE LOW. BLIZZARD  
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING.  
 
..WENDT.. 02/23/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...  
 
LAT...LON 40437381 40837418 41297422 41837324 42027152 41987060  
41757033 41347048 40437381  
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