174
FNUS22 KWNS 271839
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
VALID 281200Z - 011200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..19Z UPDATE
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. LOCALIZED ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY ARISE IN FAR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE ONGOING PROLONGED DOWNSLOPE WIND EVENT
SHOULD COME TO A CLOSE EARLY EVENING AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
MOVES EAST AND 700MB FLOW DECREASES. RH VALUES OF 15-25% AND
SUSTAINED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH (LOCALLY
HIGHER GUSTS) MAY EXIST FOR ONLY A COUPLE OF HOURS, MAINTAINING
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA/WENDT.. 02/27/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0135 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
LONGWAVE MID-LEVEL TROUGHING CENTERED OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH DAY 2/SATURDAY, YIELDING WEAKENING
FLOW ALOFT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
DOWNSTREAM OF MID-LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. MEANWHILE, A
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS.
..PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING
CONTINUING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES
WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF DRY, DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE LEE OF THE
LARAMIE RANGE. COMPARED TO PRIOR DAYS, HOWEVER, WEAKENING MID-LEVEL
FLOW WILL SUPPORT ONLY A LOCALIZED AREA OF STRONGER SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH (LOCALLY HIGHER IN TERRAIN FAVORED
AREAS). MEANWHILE, RH VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP QUITE AS LOW
AS PREVIOUS DAYS, WITH MOST GUIDANCE DEPICTING MIN RH VALUES OF
15-25% FOR ONLY A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. GIVEN THE WEAKENING
UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT AND EXPECTATION FOR ONLY A LOCALIZED CORRIDOR OF
HIGHER SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS TO BRIEFLY OVERLAP LOW RH VALUES,
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN LOCALIZED.
..PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
DRY FUELS AMID PERSISTENT DROUGHT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA MAY
HEIGHTEN LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON DAY 1/FRIDAY INTO DAY 2/SATURDAY. AREAS
THAT DO NOT SEE SUFFICIENT RAINFALL MAY SEE POTENTIAL IGNITIONS FROM
LIGHTNING INTERACTING WITH AREAS OF DRIER FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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