639
ACUS01 KWNS 021605
SWODY1
SPC AC 021604
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 AM CST MON MAR 02 2026
VALID 021630Z - 031200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST/GREAT BASIN TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER
DISTURBANCE AND ADEQUATE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO PARTS OF THE
NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. SCANT INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A SEVERE
RISK WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
FARTHER EAST, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION CONTRIBUTES TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK MUCAPE ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MS VALLEY AND
VICINITY. FARTHER EAST, CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING MAY ALSO OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF COASTAL NC AND SOUTH FL.
WEAK SHEAR AND/OR INSTABILITY ACROSS ALL THESE REGIONS SHOULD
PRECLUDE A MEANINGFUL SEVERE THREAT TODAY.
..SMITH/WENDT.. 03/02/2026
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page