104
ACUS11 KWNS 060334
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060334
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-060500-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0934 PM CST THU MAR 05 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...
VALID 060334Z - 060500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW0013, WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO OR TWO (PERHAPS STRONG).
TWO LOCALIZED, SHORT-TERM CORRIDORS OF ENHANCED SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY
ACCOMPANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE.
DISCUSSION...REGIONAL VWP PROFILES DEPICT STRONG LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH
CURVATURE, WITH OVER 300 M2/S2 0-500 M SRH, WHICH WILL HELP SUPPORT
CONTINUED MESOCYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL
AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WITH ONGOING SUPERCELLS ACROSS MUCH
OF WW0013. THE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY TRACKING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE ARE
THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS, WITH
BOTH SUPERCELLS RECENTLY HAVING CONFIRMED TORNADOES. IN TIME, AT
LEAST SOME DECREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED WITH THE
SUPERCELL IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AS IT MOVES NORTH/NORTHEAST AND
CROSSES THE SURFACE BOUNDARY INTO A MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS.
MUCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2000 J/KG NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL TO PERSIST FOR AT LEAST SOME TIME,
HOWEVER.
..CHALMERS/MOORE.. 03/06/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 36529768 36189797 35729841 35129919 34949947 34789992
34760011 34760055 34860068 34970073 35290059 35660021
35810006 36369936 36659903 37029852 37079826 37089812
37089781 36969769 36759762 36529768
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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