111
ACUS11 KWNS 062341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062341
OKZ000-070115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 PM CST FRI MAR 06 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 15...
VALID 062341Z - 070115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 15 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...ROUGHLY HALF A DOZEN SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED WITHIN A
LARGER COMPLEX OF CONVECTION ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY HAS EVOLVED ALONG THE EASTERN MOST PLUME OF
STEEPER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS MOIST AND
MLCAPE VALUES ARE HOLDING AROUND 2000 J/KG. LLJ IS CURRENTLY FOCUSED
ACROSS EASTERN OK, AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. CURRENT THINKING IS, FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THE
GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTION/SUPERCELLS WILL BE ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM NEAR ADA INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF WW015.
..DARROW.. 03/06/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 35179718 36849614 36589468 35609506 34789631 35179718
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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