271
FNUS21 KWNS 070711
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0110 AM CST SAT MAR 07 2026
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
..SYNOPSIS
EARLY-MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING
EAST THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS
FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PUSHING EAST/SOUTHEAST THROUGH TODAY
AS COOL TEMPERATURES AND HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE. A
COMBINATION OF COOL TEMPERATURES, RECENT RAINFALL, AND WIDESPREAD
RAIN CHANCES TODAY FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL
LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MOST LOCATIONS EAST OF THE ROCKIES,
THOUGH LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
..NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
A CLIPPER LOW TRAVERSING THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL SUPPORT
STRENGTHENING WEST/NORTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS UPWARDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND MAY
COINCIDE WITH RH REDUCTIONS INTO THE 15-25% RANGE WITHIN THE
DOWNSLOPE FLOW REGIME ACROSS CENTRAL TO EASTERN WY. FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL MOST LIKELY BE FOCUSED ACROSS FAR EAST-CENTRAL WY INTO
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NE AND SD WHERE ERC VALUES ARE NEAR SEASONAL
HIGHS AND LIMITED PRECIPITATION HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 72 HOURS
PER MRMS ESTIMATES.
..SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
EARLY-MORNING WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWEST MEXICO AS NORTHEASTERLY MID-LEVEL WINDS
STRENGTHEN OVER SOUTHERN CA. A COMBINATION OF STRONG MID TO
UPPER-LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW COUPLED WITH A MODERATE OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT (LAX-DAG GRADIENT FORECAST TO BE AROUND -5 MB) WILL SUPPORT
EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH (GUSTING TO 35-45 MPH AT TIMES)
TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THESE WINDS
IS FAIRLY HIGH DUE TO STRONG AGREEMENT AMONG DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS, LATEST FUELS ANALYSES SUGGEST THAT FUELS REMAIN
UNSUPPORTIVE OF FIRE SPREAD.
..MOORE.. 03/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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