498  
ACUS11 KWNS 071854  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 071854  
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-072000-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0168  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1254 PM CST SAT MAR 07 2026  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INTO MISSISSIPPI AND FAR  
WESTERN ALABAMA  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY  
 
VALID 071854Z - 072000Z  
 
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT  
 
SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE  
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN  
LOUISIANA INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN  
ALABAMA. A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH COULD BE ISSUED THIS  
AFTERNOON.  
 
DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA INTO  
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI CONTINUES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DISCUSSION  
AREA, WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THIS LINE  
ONGOING AS DAYTIME HEATING REACHES CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES. THESE  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH,  
WITH THE GREATEST THREAT BEING WITH ANY LOCALIZED BOWING SEGMENTS OR  
DOWNBURSTS SUPPORTED BY MODEST DCAPE AND WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS.  
A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR THIS  
AFTERNOON.  
 
..HALBERT/GUYER.. 03/07/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...SHV...  
 
LAT...LON 31089089 31249158 31669194 32249205 32899198 33249139  
33739015 34068848 34028809 33548802 33118802 32768805  
32398826 31948845 31808875 31478970 31089089  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN  
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