761
ACUS11 KWNS 080001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080001
TXZ000-080200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 PM CST SAT MAR 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 27...
VALID 080001Z - 080200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 27
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE FRONT CONTINUES ADVANCING STEADILY SOUTH ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TX EARLY THIS EVENING. WHILE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE
WARMED CONSIDERABLY ALONG THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY, VERY LITTLE
CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. LATEST RADAR DATA
DEPICTS SCATTERED ROBUST ELEVATED CONVECTION NORTH OF THE WIND
SHIFT, AND THIS ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING SOUTH AS THE FRONT
ADVANCES TOWARD DEEP SOUTH TX. GIVEN THE WEAK HEIGHT RISES NOTED
ACROSS THIS REGION, FRONTAL ASCENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY
MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
PARCEL LIFT MAY BE NEAR 1KM, AND ADEQUATE MUCAPE EXISTS NORTH OF THE
WIND SHIFT FOR A CONTINUED HAIL RISK WITH THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS.
..DARROW.. 03/08/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 29600003 30269621 27939622 27290003 29600003
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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