059
ACUS01 KWNS 080041
SWODY1
SPC AC 080040
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CST SAT MAR 07 2026
VALID 080100Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
..SUMMARY
A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS, WITH SPORADIC
WIND DAMAGE STILL POSSIBLE EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST.
..DISCUSSION
SCATTERED CELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR AND NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT
INTO SOUTHERN TX, WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND PERIODIC STRONG GUSTS
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX AND INTO SOUTHERN MS AND CENTRAL AL.
THE 00Z CRP SOUNDING SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE
AROUND 2000 J/KG. LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS RELATIVELY WEAK, BUT VEERING
WITH HEIGHT WHICH MAY AID UPDRAFT PROPAGATION TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST.
MODERATE MID TO HIGH LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO ELONGATING HODOGRAPHS,
WHICH MAY SUPPORT FAVORABLE STORM STRUCTURE FOR LARGE HAIL.
OTHERWISE, AN ELONGATED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHEAST TX INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND
GUSTS AT TIMES, WITH GENERALLY MARGINAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR ANYTHING
SUSTAINED. THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALSO SUPPORT A WEAKENING
TREND DURING THE EVENING.
..JEWELL.. 03/08/2026
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