865
ACUS03 KWNS 100638
SWODY3
SPC AC 100638
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. ON THURSDAY.
A SURFACE LOW LOCATED OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES, WHILE A TRAILING SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SOUTHEAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE ONGOING ALONG THE FRONT THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE A MOIST AIRMASS
WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS, LIMITED HEATING AND POOR LAPSE RATES WILL
PRECLUDE STRONGER DESTABILIZATION (MLCAPE LESS THAN 500 J/KG
EXPECTED). THIS SHOULD LARGELY LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN FL
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA, BUT SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..LEITMAN.. 03/10/2026
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