741
ACUS11 KWNS 110122
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110122
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-110245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0199
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 36...
VALID 110122Z - 110245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 36 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ACROSS TORNADO
WATCH 36. ALL HAZARDS REMAIN POSSIBLE, INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR
STRONG TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 0115 UTC, REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THE
INITIAL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT FIRST FORMED OVER EASTERN KS
AND WESTERN MO HAD DOWNSCALED INTO A COUPLE OF STRONGER SUPERCELLS
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MO. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS BROADLY FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH MODERATE BUOYANCY AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. THE KEAX VAD HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR OVER
THE LAST HOUR OR SO COINCIDENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE
SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES. RAP SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILE CONDUCIVE FOR
STRONG LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES TONIGHT. THIS WOULD SUPPORT A RISK FOR
TORNADOES (SOME STRONG) ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER CENTRAL KS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH BETWEEN 02-03Z.
THESE STORMS HAVE SHOWN MORE LINEAR ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER, STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS IN PLACE AND COULD SUPPORT EMBEDDED ROTATING
STORMS CAPABLE OF ALL HAZARDS.
..LYONS.. 03/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 39269449 40649233 40739149 40169129 39669154 38809276
38379375 37159630 38119630 39269449
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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