060
ACUS11 KWNS 110157
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110157
OKZ000-TXZ000-110400-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0857 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 33...38...
VALID 110157Z - 110400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES 33, 38 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A CORRIDOR OF DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT OVER
NORTH TEXAS FROM THE METROPLEX INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. A
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WHERE CELLS ARE DISCRETE.
DISCUSSION...A SQUALL LINE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING,
WITH A PROMINENT LEADING BOW NOW MOVING ACROSS WISE AND PARKER
COUNTIES IN TX. JUST AHEAD OF THIS LINE, SMALL CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
ARE NOTED CONFIRMING INCREASING MESOSCALE LIFT AND THE UNSTABLE AND
UNCAPPED AIR MASS.
THE 00Z SOUNDING AT FWD SHOWS ROBUST INSTABILITY WITH 2850 J/KG
MLCAPE, AND A LONG HODOGRAPH. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INCREASED PER VWPS
THIS EVENING, AIDING RIGHTWARD STORM PROPAGATION IN THE MOIST
LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT.
IN ADDITION TOT THE BOW, OTHER CELLS DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH WILL BE
MONITORED FOR FURTHER ORGANIZATION, INCLUDING TORNADO POTENTIAL AS
THIS AREA REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH INCREASING LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR.
..JEWELL.. 03/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 33599785 33889751 34359726 34649715 34929691 34959651
34829603 34459570 33919561 33379575 33339581 33079599
32699651 32549701 32549798 33009777 33279781 33599785
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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