297
ACUS11 KWNS 110557
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110556
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-110700-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 37...
VALID 110556Z - 110700Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 37 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE FROM NORTHERN IN INTO NORTHWEST OH.
OCCASIONAL SEVERE GUSTS OR HAIL ARE POSSIBLE, BUT THE DOWNSTREAM
THREAT SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 0555 UTC, REGIONAL RADAR SHOWED A CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS PROPAGATING EASTWARD ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE IN
NORTHEAST IN. A RECENT GUST TO 51 KTS WAS REPORTED AT KGSH,
INDICATING THAT THESE STORMS REMAIN CAPABLE OF OCCASIONAL SEVERE
WINDS. THE ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM IS MODESTLY BUOYANT AND STRONGLY
SHEARED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
MAINTAIN MODEST ORGANIZATION OF STRONGER UPDRAFTS FOR A FEW HOURS.
GIVEN INCREASING NOCTURNAL INHIBITION AND A TENDENCY FOR THE FRONT
TO UNDERCUT THESE STORM WITH TIME, THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THEM TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN INTO NORTHWESTERN OH. WHILE ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE, A DOWNSTREAM WATCH APPEARS UNLIKELY GIVEN THE
EXPECTED WEAKENING TREND. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.
..LYONS.. 03/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...
LAT...LON 41428652 41628558 41738452 41708351 41498332 41258331
41088342 41058455 41138580 41118641 41148675 41428652
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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