105
FNUS21 KWNS 110615
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD INTO THE
UPPER-MIDWEST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
DEEP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION, WHILE A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE WEST. STRONG
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN A DRIER AIR
MASS, RAISING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY.
..CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
DRY, POST-FRONTAL FLOW WILL ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. CLEARING SKIES WILL SUPPORT A
WELL-MIXED, BUT SHALLOWER BOUNDARY LAYER BY LATE AFTERNOON ALONG
WITH ENHANCED DOWNSLOPE DRYING UNDER INCREASING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN WY, FAR NORTHEASTERN CO AND THE NE PANHANDLE.
HOWEVER, EXPECTED PRECIPITATION, SOME IN THE FORM OF SNOW, IN
ADDITION TO MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES COULD LIMIT AN OTHERWISE
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WHERE NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25
MPH ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THIS AREA. SUFFICIENT WIDESPREAD RH
REDUCTIONS BELOW 20 PERCENT DURING PEAK INSOLATION CONTINUES TO BE A
LIMITING FACTOR IN A MORE SUBSTANTIAL FIRE WEATHER RISK ACROSS
WESTERN KS AND OK/TX PANHANDLES, WITH BROAD ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS
MAINTAINED WHERE NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH AND DRY FUELS ALIGN.
LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST TX/ROLLING PLAINS AREA WHERE AFTERNOON RH BRIEFLY FALLS TO
AROUND 15 PERCENT AMID BREEZY NORTH WINDS OF UP TO 30 MPH.
..FAR SOUTH TEXAS
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE ADDED TO PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN TX FOR
WEDNESDAY. DRY WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW SUPPORTED BY AN EXITING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH AND EASTWARD SHUNTING OF DEEPER GULF MOISTURE WILL
IMPACT FAR SOUTHERN TX WEDNESDAY. ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL
TX IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, LIMITING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN TX. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20
MPH BEHIND AN EASTWARD MIXING DRY LINE, ALONG WITH MINIMUM DAYTIME
RH OF AROUND 15% SHOULD SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
DRY FUELS WHERE MINIMAL RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL
DAYS.
..WILLIAMS.. 03/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page