884
ACUS11 KWNS 120240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120239
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-120445-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0226
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 48...
VALID 120239Z - 120445Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 48 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...OCCASIONAL BRIEF TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS OVERSPREADING THE
REGION THROUGH MIDNIGHT-2 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION...THE ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM, WITH AT LEAST A COUPLE
OF EMBEDDED MESO BETA SCALE LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONIC
CIRCULATIONS AND OCCASIONALLY INTENSIFYING MESO GAMMA SCALE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATIONS CLOSER TO THE SURFACE, IS GENERALLY BEING MAINTAINED.
THIS IS LIKELY BEING SUPPORTED BY INFLOW OF BOUNDARY-LAYER BASED
CAPE UP TO AROUND 1000 J/KG, WITHIN A NARROW CORRIDOR OF BETTER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN ROUGHLY ALIGNED WITH A 30-35 KT
SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB JET NOSING INLAND OF THE GULF COAST.
IT APPEARS THAT THIS CORRIDOR OF DESTABILIZATION AND ENLARGED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL PERSIST AND DEVELOP EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA INTO
THE 05-07Z TIME FRAME, WITH THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE ACROSS LOUISIANA. AS LONG AS THIS CONTINUES,
OCCASIONAL BRIEF TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE.
..KERR.. 03/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31048942 31798881 32418644 30388840 29389041 29749105
30478989 31048942
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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