945  
ACUS01 KWNS 130055  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 130053  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026  
 
VALID 130100Z - 131200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST TONIGHT.  
   
..01Z UPDATE  
 
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS DIMINISHING QUICKLY ACROSS THE FL  
PENINSULA EARLY THIS EVENING. BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING WILL LEAD TO  
WEAKER BUOYANCY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND POOR LAPSE RATES DO NOT  
APPEAR PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR ROBUST DEEP CONVECTION. LATEST  
RADAR DATA EXHIBITS SHALLOW CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT, BUT ONLY A  
FEW FLASHES OF LIGHTNING REMAIN WITH THIS ACTIVITY.  
 
ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY, EXIT REGION OF STRONG MIDLEVEL JET WILL  
SUPPORT WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM EASTERN ND ACROSS MN INTO  
WESTERN WI TONIGHT. WARM ADVECTION AND STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD AID  
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A FEW FLASHES OF LIGHTNING WITHIN THE  
STRONGER UPDRAFTS. EVEN SO, THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN QUITE  
ISOLATED.  
 
..DARROW.. 03/13/2026  
 
 
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