464
ACUS11 KWNS 160302
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160302
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-160430-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0256
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1002 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL MIDDLE
TENNESSEE
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 59...
VALID 160302Z - 160430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 59 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...TORNADO RISK INCREASING.
DISCUSSION...A DISCRETE SUPERCELL HAS SHOWN PERSISTENT ROTATION AND
STRENGTHENING OVER THE LAST 30-45 MINUTES NEAR THE TN/AL STATE LINE.
A SECOND CELL HAS ALSO SHOWN PERSISTENT ROTATION TO THE NORTH OF TO
THE NORTH OF THE TN STATE LINE. THIS IS ON THE SOUTHERN END OF A
CLUSTER OF CELLS AHEAD OF THE MAIN SQUALL LINE BACK TO THE WEST ON
THE EDGE OF THE 60 F DEW POINTS. WITHIN THIS REGION, STP AROUND 2 IS
ANALYZED IN SURFACE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS, WITH VAD PROFILES FROM KBNA
AND KGWX SHOWING LARGE LOW-LEVEL CURVATURE IN HODOGRAPHS. THIS
CORRIDOR WILL POSE A RELATIVELY HIGHER RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS GIVEN THE FAVORABLE SHEAR AND THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT.
..THORNTON.. 03/16/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...
LAT...LON 34758825 35278792 35408763 35298701 35038668 34658686
34528771 34588827 34758825
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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