716
FNUS21 KWNS 160648
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST
..SYNOPSIS
DRY, POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING A PERIOD OF ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO/FAR WEST TEXAS AND FROM
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TEXAS COAST.
..NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
DRY SOUTHEASTERLY RETURN FLOW AROUND 15-20 MPH WILL OVERLAP RELATIVE
HUMIDITY REDUCTIONS TO 15-20 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW
MEXICO INTO FAR WESTERN TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. FUELS WITHIN THIS
REGION REMAIN CRITICALLY DRY AND MULTIPLE DAYS OF WINDY/DRY
CONDITIONS AND WILL SUPPORT MAINTAINING AN ELEVATED AREA.
..SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE, DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
OVERSPREAD AN AREA FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DOWN TO THE
MIDDLE/LOWER TEXAS COAST. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE LOWER TEXAS COAST, WHERE A CRITICAL WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS
OUTLOOK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 10-15% WILL OVERLAP NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS 15-20 MPH ACROSS THIS REGION. THIS IN ADDITION TO
DRY FUELS WILL SUPPORT INCREASED FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL. CONFIDENCE
HAS INCREASE THAT ELEVATED CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST AND NORTH INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA, WHICH WAS ADDED
WITH THIS OUTLOOK AS SEVERAL NEW FIRES EMERGED ACROSS THIS REGION ON
SUNDAY.
..THORNTON.. 03/16/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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