181
ACUS11 KWNS 161536
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161535
VAZ000-161700-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 66...67...
VALID 161535Z - 161700Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 66, 67 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOCALLY MORE FAVORABLE SEVERE WEATHER CORRIDOR EXISTS
OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.
DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES HAVE INCREASED TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S IN
A NARROW ZONE FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA INTO EAST-CENTRAL VIRGINIA
LATE THIS MORNING. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS REMAIN ACROSS THIS
REGION WHICH MAY PERMIT SOME ADDITIONAL WARMING. THE LINE OF STORMS
NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER ARE ALSO MORE FAVORABLY ORIENTED FOR A GREATER
DAMAGING WIND/QLCS TORNADO THREAT. ADDITIONALLY, MID-LEVEL FLOW IS
RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING WITH THE FCX VWP SHOWING MID-LEVEL FLOW
INCREASING FROM 60 KNOTS TO 80 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 2 HOURS.
THEREFORE, THIS CORRIDOR FROM HALIFAX TO HANOVER COUNTY MAY HAVE A
GREATER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS.
..BENTLEY/THOMPSON.. 03/16/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...
LAT...LON 36587862 36687950 36917945 37387927 37827853 38117799
38317770 38287739 37637725 36807829 36587862
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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