414
ACUS03 KWNS 211853
SWODY3
SPC AC 211852
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0152 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
GA/SC AND SOUTHERN NC...
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA.
..PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA
A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH INITIALLY NEAR THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY
NIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SHORTWAVE, A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEAST. ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT, HEATING AND MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE (WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 F) WILL RESULT IN SOME DIURNAL
DESTABILIZATION, WITH MLCAPE POTENTIALLY INCREASING INTO THE
500-1000 J/KG RANGE.
WITH GENERALLY LIMITED FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND ONLY WEAK TO MODEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT, STORM COVERAGE MAY REMAIN ISOLATED NEAR/SOUTH OF
THE FRONT. MODEST WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL
PROVIDE SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR SOME STORM ORGANIZATION, IF
ANY ROBUST UPDRAFTS CAN BE SUSTAINED. ISOLATED HAIL AND/OR
STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS COULD OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS, THOUGH
COVERAGE APPEARS LIMITED AT THIS TIME.
..DEAN.. 03/21/2026
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