250  
ACUS02 KWNS 231729  
SWODY2  
SPC AC 231728  
 
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1228 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE  
CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA.  
   
..SYNOPSIS  
 
A SURFACE COLD FRONT, NOW APPROACHING THE PIEDMONT, WILL MOVE  
SOUTHWARD INTO FL AND STALL BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DAYTIME  
HEATING/MIXING ALONG THE STALLED FRONT, AS WELL AS LOCAL SEA BREEZE  
CIRCULATIONS, WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH FL DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.  
THIS AREA WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER WESTERLY  
FLOW ALOFT, AND THE COMBINATION OF BUOYANCY AND VERTICAL SHEAR DOES  
NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS.  
 
OTHERWISE, A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER VANCOUVER/WA  
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WEAK BUOYANCY ROOTED ALOFT WILL BE  
POSSIBLE IN THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE PRECEDING THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH,  
AND STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW SHALLOW BUOYANCY IN  
THE POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ISOLATED  
LIGHTNING FLASHES COULD OCCUR AND THIS AREA WILL BE RE-EXAMINED IN  
LATER OUTLOOK UPDATES.  
 
..THOMPSON.. 03/23/2026  
 
 
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