735
ACUS02 KWNS 240552
SWODY2
SPC AC 240550
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
A STOUT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BROAD-SCALE SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF
THE RIDGE WILL HELP MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST AREAS OF THE
COUNTRY. HOWEVER, A FEW REGIONS WILL SEE AT LEAST ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS MOST PROBABLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHERE WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WITHIN A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE (AIDED BY LOCALIZED LIFT
ALONG SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES) WILL SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SUB-SEVERE DUE TO WEAK WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PROFILE. A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE PROPAGATING INTO THE
MIDWEST/OH VALLEY OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY SUPPORT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 00Z AS LIFT OVERSPREADS THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF
RETURNING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, THOUGH BUOYANCY PROFILES WILL LIKELY
REMAIN TOO MEAGER TO SUPPORT ROBUST/DEEP CONVECTION. SIMILARLY, VERY
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER WAVE
MAY SUPPORT SHALLOW CONVECTION AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING FLASHES
ACROSS PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. STRONG DIURNAL HEATING/MIXING ALONG THE SLOPES OF THE
CO ROCKIES MAY SUPPORT VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IN THUNDER POTENTIAL IS LOW DUE TO VERY
WEAK/NEBULOUS FORCING FOR ASCENT, BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND
CONVECTIVE SIGNALS FROM RECENT CAM GUIDANCE SUGGESTS AT LEAST A 10%
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
..MOORE.. 03/24/2026
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