012
ACUS01 KWNS 250506
SWODY1
SPC AC 250505
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL BECOME LESS
AMPLIFIED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET MOVES FROM
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. A SURFACE LOW WILL
EMERGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY THIS EVENING. STRENGTHENING
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SURFACE LOW WILL MOISTEN REGIONS FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY.
..OHIO VALLEY
A WEAK MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH (EVIDENT AT BOTH 850MB AND 500MB)
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT
STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK (<500 J/KG) AND THEREFORE, NO
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS ANTICIPATED, DESPITE STRONG DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR.
..FLORIDA.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY, PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
PENINSULA. RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND COOL TEMPS
COULD SUPPORT SOME STRONGER STORMS, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER, WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR
(MOSTLY 20 KNOTS OR LESS) SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.
ELSEWHERE, THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO,
SOUTHEAST WYOMING, AND WESTERN NEBRASKA, PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
PLAINS, AND WESTERN WASHINGTON. HOWEVER, THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED AND POSE MINIMAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
..BENTLEY/WENDT.. 03/25/2026
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