906
ACUS03 KWNS 260719
SWODY3
SPC AC 260718
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW.
..SYNOPSIS
DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS
AS A BROAD REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS/OH
VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE D2/FRIDAY
TO EARLY D3/SATURDAY PERIOD. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO RESIDE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF AND INTO THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA BY 12 UTC
SATURDAY, AND WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE
STALLING OVER SOUTH FL DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALTHOUGH
FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD STEADILY DIMINISH GIVEN THE FRONTOLYTIC
NATURE OF THE BOUNDARY, WEAK LOW-LEVEL ASCENT WITHIN A MOIST AND
WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
DISPLACEMENT FROM STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION
AND LONGEVITY, WHICH SHOULD PRECLUDE ORGANIZED CONVECTION. BASED ON
EXTENDED-RANGE RRFS AND MPAS SOLUTIONS, AS WELL AS ENSEMBLE QPF
SIGNALS, THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EMERGE ACROSS
THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE VICINITY AND AREAS WESTWARD TO THE FL GULF
COAST.
..MOORE.. 03/26/2026
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