915
ACUS11 KWNS 262341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262340
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-270115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO...WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 75...
VALID 262340Z - 270115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 75 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING GUSTS, AND A TORNADO
CONTINUES IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER FAR NORTHERN OH AND
NORTHWEST PA AT 2330Z, WITH A LINE SEGMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWEST OH EXTENDING FROM NEAR TOLEDO TO
OTTAWA AND A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL. IN THE
PRESENCE OF MLCAPE OF 500 TO LOCALLY 1000 J/KG AND SUFFICIENT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR, THE ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELL AND LINEAR
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING GUSTS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR OF 150-200 M2/S2 WILL SUPPORT SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LOW-LEVEL ROTATION AND A RISK FOR A TORNADO,
ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SEMI-DISCRETE STORM THAT CAN PERSIST. SEVERE
STORMS MOVING INTO WESTERN OH WEST OF VERSAILLES WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO POSE A SEVERE RISK GIVEN THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC AND
KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT, AND LOCAL WATCH EXTENSION HAS BEEN
COORDINATED IN THIS AREA.
ACROSS EASTERN OH/WESTERN PA, MORE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED AND OCCASIONALLY EXHIBITED SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS.
LATEST RAP SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A CONTINUED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
SEVERE WIND AND HAIL, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO GIVEN
SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
..BUNTING.. 03/26/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...
LAT...LON 41078439 41158404 41478389 41668379 41678364 41608331
41398236 41438122 41538116 41718062 41788027 41727998
41407971 41147968 40947969 40727975 40598022 40548091
40628158 40188305 39768407 40168469 40778471 40928457
41078439
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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