636
FNUS21 KWNS 311634
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
VALID 311700Z - 011200Z
..MORNING UPDATE
A SOUTHWARD EXTENSION WAS MADE TO THE ELEVATED AREA IN SOUTHEAST NM
AND WEST TX TO ACCOUNT FOR DOWNSLOPE WINDS EAST OF THE SACRAMENTO
AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. WESTERLY LEE-SURFACE WINDS UP TO 15 MPH
AMID 10-15 PERCENT RH ARE EXPECTED ATOP DRY FUELS. A SMALL PART OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN TX PANHANDLE RECEIVED APPRECIABLE RAINFALL
YESTERDAY EVENING, THUS HAS BEEN TRIMMED FROM THE ELEVATED RISK
AREA. THE REST OF THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK, SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
IN NORTHEAST UT AND NORTHWEST CO, BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF
15-25 MPH AND 15-20 PERCENT RH WILL OCCUR OVER THE COLORADO PLATEAU
AND UINTA BASIN AHEAD OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVAL. HOWEVER, CLOUD COVER
SHOULD ALLEVIATE BROADER FIRE CONCERNS ACROSS THE REGION, PRECLUDING
THE INTRODUCTION OF ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA/WILLIAMS.. 03/31/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0211 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL IMPINGE ON THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY,
SUPPORTING SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE TX PANHANDLE/OK BORDER.
DRY DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS,
RESULTING 15 MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AMID 15 PERCENT
RH, WARRANTING ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS. ISOLATED HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ATOP A
DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AND RECEPTIVE FUELS. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR
LIGHTNING INDUCED IGNITIONS WITH THESE STORMS, AS WELL AS THE
POTENTIAL FOR IGNITION EXACERBATION FROM ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS, ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADDED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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