620
ACUS11 KWNS 312023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312022
PAZ000-OHZ000-312215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN OHIO INTO NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 80...
VALID 312022Z - 312215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 80
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND PERHAPS A BRIEF
TORNADO OR TWO, IS LIKELY TO INCREASE AS AN EVOLVING CLUSTER OF
STORMS OVERSPREADS MUCH OF THE GREATER CLEVELAND AREA BY 5-6 PM EDT.
DISCUSSION...AN EVOLVING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND ORGANIZE. THOUGH NOT YET WELL-DEFINED, AN
ASSOCIATED LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONIC CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE
EVOLVING, NEAR/EAST OF TOLEDO, WITH FURTHER INTENSIFICATION STILL
POSSIBLE, AS CONVECTION MAINTAINS EAST/SOUTHEASTERLY INFLOW OF
UNSTABLE AIR CHARACTERIZED BY MIXED-LAYER CAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG FOR
AT LEAST ANOTHER FEW HOURS. EMBEDDED WITHIN 40+ KT WESTERLY
DEEP-LAYER MEAN FLOW IT APPEARS THAT THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WILL
OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE GREATER CLEVELAND AREA BY 21-22Z, ACCOMPANIED
BY POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO.
..KERR.. 03/31/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...
LAT...LON 41658283 41728168 42048053 41507995 41038131 40938306
41338312 41658283
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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