327
ACUS11 KWNS 010057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010056
MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-010230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0315
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER HUDSON VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT AND
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 84...
VALID 010056Z - 010230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 84
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY INTO NORTHWEST CT AND WESTERN MA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN.
DISCUSSION...WEAK BUOYANCY HAS YET TO BE OVERTURNED ACROSS THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE HOLDING IN THE LOWER 70S. LEADING EDGE OF
LONG-LIVED COMPLEX OF STORMS IS SPREADING ACROSS THIS REGION BUT
THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT ADVANCES
DOWNSTREAM. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS A SHARP FRONT IS DRAPED
ACROSS RI INTO CENTRAL MA WHERE EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS
MAINTAINING SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S. CURRENT THINKING IS A
NARROW CORRIDOR EXISTS FOR ROBUST CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL POSE MOSTLY A GUSTY WIND RISK.
..DARROW.. 04/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BOX...ALY...BGM...
LAT...LON 42037497 42717302 42307247 41627375 42037497
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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