703
ACUS11 KWNS 012255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012255
OKZ000-020100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0555 PM CDT WED APR 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 86...
VALID 012255Z - 020100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 86 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE TORNADO RISK WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS
IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA -- WITHIN TORNADO WATCH #86.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EVOLVING/STRENGTHENING
NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT AROUND CHILDRESS TX -- WHERE SEVERAL SEVERE
GUSTS HAVE RECENTLY BEEN MEASURED. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS, THESE
STORMS, AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPING STORMS ALONG ITS NORTHERN/EASTERN
FLANK, SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE INTO A WARM/MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER AND STEEP DEEP-LAYER LAPSE RATES (AROUND 2000 J/KG
MLCAPE). CLOCKWISE-CURVED HODOGRAPHS WILL INCREASE IN SIZE (250+
M2/S2 EFFECTIVE SRH) AS THE NOCTURNAL LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS, FAVORING INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES/RIGHT-MOVERS. AS A RESULT, THE TORNADO RISK (SOME
STRONG) WILL INCREASE INTO SOUTHWESTERN OK OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND
GUSTS.
..WEINMAN.. 04/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 34499963 34709994 35079993 35359978 35629946 35759902
35639862 35209835 34799846 34489899 34499963
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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